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Home »» Financial news »» BoE will 'slowly lower rates to 4%'

BoE will 'slowly lower rates to 4%'

28 February 2008

The staggered drop in the Bank of England base interest rate may suggest that they will drop as far as four per cent, according to experts.

Economists at Capital Economics believe that the base rate, which helps set savings and debt rates could fall as low as four per cent as the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) tries to combat the effects of the credit crunch.

Next Thursday, when the MPC meets again, they are unlikely to "slash rates in the style of the Fed [the US central bank]", according to Paul Dales of the economic research consultancy.

He said: "We see rates going down to around four per cent. But we don't think they'll get there any time soon, which will play a part in how low rates have to go."

The MPC faces a dilemma, said Mr Dales because on the one hand it wants to stimulate the economy, but it also feels the need to rein back inflation, which has been growing recently.

He added: "They may be able to get away with lowering rates to something like 4.5 per cent or something slightly stimulatory, but because we think they're going to take their time due to inflation concerns, rates might actually have to fall further to around 4 per cent."

A Reuters survey revealed that 49 of 62 economists it polled expected the MPC to next cut rates in May.
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