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Increased retail spending unlikely to continue

25 June 2008

Despite recent encouraging figures, retail spending is unlikely to continue to increase, according to an economic research consultancy.

While the Office for National Statistics recorded a 1.8 per cent increase in sales in May compared with the previous three months, spending on the high street is likely to fall as the credit crunch continues to tighten household budgets.

Vicky Redwood, UK economist, Capital Economics said: "With so much going against consumers at the moment it's hard to see how they can continue to be spending as much. We would expect to see further signs of weakness - perhaps monthly falls."

Interest rates are likely to rise if the Bank of England thinks the figures indicate a robust economy, according to Ms Redwood.

"If you take the numbers at face value it obviously increases the chances that the next move in interest rates will be up," she added.

According to the British Retail Consortium, sales in May rose by 1.9 per cent because of the warm weather.ADNFCR-1395-ID-18654616-ADNFCR

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